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1.
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering ; 11(4):732, 2023.
Article in English | ProQuest Central | ID: covidwho-2305922

ABSTRACT

There are many inevitable disruptive events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, natural disasters and geopolitical conflicts, during the operation of the container port supply chain (CPSC). These events bring ship delays, port congestion and turnover inefficiency. In order to enhance the resilience of the CPSC, a modified two-stage CPSC system containing a container pretreatment system (CPS) and a container handling system (CHS) is built. A two-dimensional resilience index is designed to measure its affordability and recovery. An adaptive fuzzy double-feedback adjustment (AFDA) strategy is proposed to mitigate the disruptive effects and regulate its dynamicity. The AFDA strategy consists of the first-level fuzzy logic control system and the second-level adaptive fuzzy adjustment system. Simulations show the AFDA strategy outperforms the original system, PID, and two pipelines for improved dynamic response and augmented resilience. This study effectively supports the operations manager in determining the proper control policies and resilience management with respect to indeterminate container waiting delay and allocation delay due to disruptive effects.

2.
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management ; 149(4), 2023.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-2235562

ABSTRACT

The construction industry in many developing countries is considered the main engine for economic growth. Quantification of the resilience of the construction industry in developing economies is essential for stakeholders and decision makers. Many researchers have attempted to quantify the construction industry's resilience in the context of developed economies;however, there is lack of established measures of such quantification in developing countries. This paper proposes a framework for the composition of an index that quantifies the resilience of the construction industry in developing countries. The proposed framework is demonstrated in the context of three developing countries: Rwanda, Egypt, and Turkey. The index is composed of measures such as the construction value added to a country's gross domestic product (GDP) and employment in construction. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is utilized for weighting and aggregation of the individual variables. Studying the causal relationship between construction growth and economic development from 1971 to 2022, results show that construction growth leads to economic development in each of the three countries. Results of the proposed index values indicate that the construction industry in each of the three countries demonstrated increased resilience by sustaining both its outputs and its employment generation aspect in the two years following the coronavirus pandemic in 2019. Quantification of the construction industry's resilience in countries where the construction growth leads to the economic growth would provide a crucial insight for stakeholders and decision makers. © 2023 American Society of Civil Engineers.

3.
International Journal of Business Performance and Supply Chain Modelling ; 13(1):53-68, 2022.
Article in English | Scopus | ID: covidwho-1846949

ABSTRACT

Coronavirus pandemic in 2020 posed new challenges for supply chains, requiring a rethinking of risk assessment approaches, with a focus on post-pandemic recovery and SC's ability to adapt to new business conditions. This study is aimed at performing a descriptive and comparative analysis of the potential risks of supply chains in a number of countries, as well as at assessing the processes of their integration into global supply chains based on the Global Resilience Index FM 2020 as a parameter of resilience of an entity to disruptive events, which fully meets the requirements for a comprehensive assessment of supply chain risks. According to the findings, when formulating a supply chain risk management strategy, the focus should be on an analysis of the external environment and the sustainability of the supply chain. The results and methods of this study can be applied by top managers of supply chain risk management, while government officials can use the results and methods of this article to determine policy for supply chain management. © 2022 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.. All rights reserved.

4.
Front Public Health ; 9: 787190, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1686566

ABSTRACT

As a major public health emergency, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a huge impact on economies all over the world. The experience of post-COVID-19 economic recovery is of great significance for achieving sustainable and high-quality economic development. Taking the economic development of China as an example, based on the theory of resilient economy and related measurement methods, this article selects five major indicators that are generally recognized as closely connected with economic resilience to construct a system of economic resilience indicators. In addition, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is used to predict gross domestic product (GDP) under the scenario of no epidemic. The actual value of China's GDP is compared with the predicted value in the absence of the epidemic, verifying that strong economic resilience plays an important role in the country's economic response to major shocks. Based on the results, policy recommendations are made for countries to strengthen their economic resilience in the postepidemic era.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , China/epidemiology , Economic Development , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
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